US Dollar, Mexican Peso, South African Rand, USD/MXN, USD/ZAR – TALKING POINTS
- USD/MXN could be on verge of bullish spike after key technical levels broke
- Pennant continuation pattern suggests USD/MXN may rise to around 30.780
- USD/ZAR tests new highs as US Dollar prevails in virus-shaken environment
US Dollar Outlook vs Mexican Peso
USD/MXN may be on the verge of a bullish spike after clearing the top layer of a narrowing congestive period formed after its 30 percent rise in mid-March. The pair appears to be in the last stages of completing a short-term continuation pattern known as a Pennant. If the break is met with follow-through, the ascent could theoretically be proportional to the one that brought USD/MXN to the digestive interim.
USD/MXN – Daily Chart
USD/MXN chart created using TradingView
This could lead the USD/MXN exchange rate to test as high as 30.8700, and the monthly chart supports the notion of an underlying bullish bias. Looking at a wider timeframe shows that the daily chart is a reflection of a multi-year continuation pattern that strongly resembles a Pennant. In this view, the breakout has already occurred, but a resurgent bullish drive – with accommodating fundamentals – could reinforce the pair’s ascent.
USD/MXN – Monthly Chart
USD/MXN chart created using TradingView
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US Dollar Outlook vs South African Rand
USD/ZAR is testing new highs as it flirts with puncturing the lower tier of the 19.0340-19.3453 resistance range. While it may not re-mount the former uptrend (gold channel), breaking above the upper layer with follow-through could reinforce bullish sentiment and push the pair higher. Conversely if it retreats, USD/ZAR may retest support at 17.8289.
USD/ZAR – Daily Chart
USD/ZAR chart created using TradingView
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— Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com
To contact Dimitri, use the comments section below or @ZabelinDimitriTwitter
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