How I’d Invest A $1.5 Billion Jackpot

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This article was published on Dividend Kings on Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.

Lottery fever is sweeping the nation yet again. In the last few days, 250 million Megamillions tickets were sold, about one for every adult in the US.

And

Bear Market Managed Futures Bonds 50/50 Bonds Managed Futures S&P
2022 Stagflation 17% -13% 2% -28%
Pandemic Crash 0% -0.5% 0% -34%
2018 6% 2% 4% -21%
2011 -7% 5% -1% -22%
Great Recession 14% 7% 11% -58%
Tech Crash 29% 9% 19% -50%
1998 Bear Market NA 1% 1% -22%
1990 Recession 21% 1% 11% -20%
1987 Flash Crash 57% -3% 27% -30%
1980 to 1983 Stagflation Period 195% NA 195% 51%
Average 37% 1% 19% -23%

Metric 60/40 ZEUS Income Growth X Better Than 60/40
Yield 2.1% 4.1% 1.95
Growth Consensus 5.1% 8.3% 1.63
LT Consensus Total Return Potential 7.2% 12.4% 1.72
Risk-Adjusted Expected Return 5.0% 8.7% 1.72
Safe Withdrawal Rate (Risk And Inflation-Adjusted Expected Returns) 2.8% 6.4% 2.31
Conservative Time To Double (Years) 26.0 11.2 2.31

Metric S&P ZEUS Income Growth X Better Than S&P 500
Yield 1.7% 4.1% 2.41
Growth Consensus 8.5% 8.3% 0.98
LT Consensus Total Return Potential 10.2% 12.4% 1.22
Risk-Adjusted Expected Return 7.1% 8.7% 1.22
Safe Withdrawal Rate (Risk And Inflation-Adjusted Expected Returns) 4.9% 6.4% 1.32
Conservative Time To Double (Years) 14.8 11.2 1.32

Metric Nasdaq ZEUS Income Growth X Better Than S&P 500
Yield 0.8% 4.1% 5.13
Growth Consensus 10.9% 8.3% 0.76
LT Consensus Total Return Potential 11.7% 12.4% 1.06
Risk-Adjusted Expected Return 8.2% 8.7% 1.06
Safe Withdrawal Rate (Risk And Inflation-Adjusted Expected Returns) 5.9% 6.4% 1.08
Conservative Time To Double (Years) 12.2 11.2 1.08

Bear Market ZEUS Income Growth 60/40 S&P Nasdaq
2022 Stagflation -14% -21% -28% -35%
Pandemic Crash -9% -13% -34% -13%
2018 -10% -9% -21% -17%
2011 4% -16% -22% -11%
Great Recession -20% -44% -58% -59%
Average -10% -21% -33% -27%
Average Decline vs. Benchmark NA 48% 30% 36%

Bear Market ZEUS Income Growth 60/40 S&P Nasdaq
2022 Stagflation -14% -21% -28% -35%
Pandemic Crash -9% -13% -34% -13%
2018 -10% -9% -21% -17%
2011 4% -16% -22% -11%
Great Recession -20% -44% -58% -59%
Average -10% -21% -33% -27%
Average Decline vs. Benchmark NA 48% 30% 36%

Bear Market Severity Statistical Probability 1 In X Probability Expected Every X Years

S&P 500 More Likely In Any Given Year To Suffer This Decline Than ZEUS Income Growth

20+% 3.16% 32 2,373 396
25+% 1.07% 93 7,009
30+% 0.38% 263 19,737
35+% 0.12% 833 62,500
40+% 0.03% 3333 250,000 5,000

Monthly Savings Inflation-Adjusted Portfolio After 20 Years Inflation-Adjusted Portfolio After 30 Years Inflation-Adjusted Portfolio After 40 Years Inflation-Adjusted Portfolio After 50 Years
$100 $77,936 $235,923 $672,169 $1,876,759
$250 $194,840 $589,809 $1,680,423 $4,691,899
$500 $389,682 $1,179,620 $3,360,849 $9,383,804
$1,000 $779,363 $2,359,239 $6,721,695 $18,767,598
$2,000 $1,558,727 $4,718,477 $13,443,387 $37,535,189
$3,000 $2,338,091 $7,077,716 $20,165,083 $56,302,791

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