How I Built A $5 Million 6% Yielding Portfolio With 9 Blue Chips

happy couple on the beach

anyaberkut

This article was published on Dividend Kings on Tuesday, December 19th.

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2023 is coming… prepare for glory! Glorious blue-chip bargains that could change your life.

Investors are likely to be tested in the first half of 2023, with

Earnings Decline In 2023 2023 S&P Earnings X 25-Year Average PE Of 16.7 Decline From Current Level
0% $218.45 $3,648.12 5.3%
5% $207.53 $3,465.71 10.0%
10% $196.61 $3,283.30 14.8%
13% $190.05 $3,173.86 17.6%
15% $185.68 $3,100.90 19.5%
20% $174.76 $2,918.49 24.2%

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Ben Carlson

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Charlie Bilello

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Charlie Bilello

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Duke University

Bear Market Managed Futures S&P
2022 Stagflation 10% -16%
Pandemic Crash 0% -34%
2018 6% -21%
2011 -7% -22%
Great Recession 14% -58%
Tech Crash 29% -50%
1990 Recession 21% -20%
1987 Flash Crash 57% -30%
1980 to 1983 Stagflation Period 195% 51%
Average 36% -22%

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DBMF

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(Source: Dividend Kings Zen Research Terminal)

Investment Strategy Yield LT Consensus Growth LT Consensus Total Return Potential
6 Ultra-Yield Blue-Chips 8.3% 5.0% 13.3%
Safe Midstream 5.9% 6.4% 12.3%
REITs 3.9% 6.1% 10.0%
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF 3.4% 7.6% 11.0%
60/40 Retirement Portfolio 2.1% 5.1% 7.2%
Dividend Aristocrats 1.9% 8.5% 10.4%
S&P 500 1.7% 8.5% 10.2%

valuation is almxost all thxat matters for long-term stock returns

Bank of America

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Portfolio Visualizer Premium

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Portfolio Visualizer Premium

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2008 was 2 MO spin-offs ((Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium))

Metric S&P VYM 6 Ultra-Yield Blue-Chips
Total Dividends $484 $783 $3,660
Total Inflation-Adjusted Dividends $343.26 $555.32 $2,595.74
Annualized Income Growth Rate 8.2% 9.4% 13.7%
Total Income/Initial Investment % 0.48 0.78 3.66
Inflation-Adjusted Income/Initial Investment % 0.34 0.56 2.60
More Inflation-Adjusted Income Than S&P 500 NA 1.62 7.56
Starting Yield 1.8% 2.7% 8.3%
Today’s Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Yield On Cost) 5.4% 9.5% 44.3%
2022 Inflation-Adjusted Annual Dividend Return On Your Starting Investment (Inflation-Adjusted Yield On Cost) 3.8% 6.7% 31.4%

Metric 60/40 ZEUS Ultra-Yield Portfolio X Better Than 60/40
Yield 2.1% 6.1% 2.90
Growth Consensus 5.1% 4.2% 0.82
LT Consensus Total Return Potential 7.2% 10.3% 1.43
Risk-Adjusted Expected Return 5.0% 7.2% 1.43
Safe Withdrawal Rate (Risk And Inflation-Adjusted Expected Returns) 2.8% 4.9% 1.78
Conservative Time To Double (Years) 26.0 14.6 1.78

Metric S&P ZEUS Ultra-Yield Portfolio X Better Than S&P 500
Yield 1.7% 6.1% 3.59
Growth Consensus 8.5% 4.2% 0.49
LT Consensus Total Return Potential 10.2% 10.3% 1.01
Risk-Adjusted Expected Return 7.1% 7.2% 1.01
Safe Withdrawal Rate (Risk And Inflation-Adjusted Expected Returns) 4.9% 4.9% 1.01
Conservative Time To Double (Years) 14.8 14.6 1.01

Time Frame (Years) 4.8% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted 60/40 7.9% Inflation-Adjusted ZEUS Ultra-Yield Difference Between ZEUS Ultra-Yield Ultra SWAN Consensus and 60/40 Consensus
5 $6,320,863.58 $7,312,691.09 $991,827.50
10 $7,990,663.29 $10,695,090.19 $2,704,426.90
15 $10,101,578.52 $15,641,978.14 $5,540,399.62
20 $12,770,139.96 $22,876,990.82 $10,106,850.86
25 $16,143,662.53 $33,458,473.38 $17,314,810.85
30 $20,408,377.73 $48,934,296.02 $28,525,918.29

Time Frame (Years)

Ratio ZEUS Ultra-Yield Portfolio Vs. 60/40 Consensus

5 1.2
10 1.3
15 1.5
20 1.8
25 2.1
30 2.4

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Morningstar

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Morningstar

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Morningstar

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Morningstar

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Morningstar

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Morningstar

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Morningstar

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Morningstar

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Morningstar

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Morningstar

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(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)

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(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)

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(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)

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(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)

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(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)

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(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)

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(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)

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Market Insider

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(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)

Bear Market ZEUS Ultra-Yield 60/40 S&P
2022 Stagflation -9% -21% -28%
Pandemic Crash -16% -13% -34%
2018 -8% -9% -21%
2011 3% -16% -22%
Great Recession -19% -44% -58%
Average -10% -21% -33%
Average Decline vs. Benchmark NA 48% 30%

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(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)

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(Source: Portfolio Visualizer Premium)

Bear Market Severity Statistical Probability Over 75 Years 1 In X Probability Expected Every X Years

S&P More Likely To Suffer X% Decline In Any Given Year

20+% 3.43% 29 2,187 364
25+% 0.93% 108 8,065
30+% 0.27% 370 27,778
35+% 0.02% 5,000 375,000
40+% 0.01% 10,000 750,000 15,000

Bear Market ZEUS Ultra-Yield 60/40 S&P
2022 Stagflation -9% -21% -28%
Pandemic Crash -16% -13% -34%
2018 -8% -9% -21%
2011 3% -16% -22%
Great Recession -19% -44% -58%
Average -10% -21% -33%
Average Decline vs. Benchmark NA 48% 30%

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CNBC

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