BTC and XRP – Correction likely ended


Yesterday the price of Bitcoin reached $7709 at it’s lowest point coming from $9166 high made on Saturday which is a decrease of 15.9% in only two days. Since yesterday’s low, we have seen a minor recovery with the price currently sitting at around $8100 level. This 5.3% increase from yesterday might continue as the price is in an upward trajectory and came above the significant horizontal zone.

Looking at the hourly chart, we can see that this descending move was caused by rejection at the 1 Fibonacci level of a higher degree count which was actually the ending point of the first corrective move made in June last year after the parabolic increase which developed throughout the first half of the year ended. Thus this was the 4th wave out of the lower degree five-wave impulse to the downside which is the C wave of a Minute count.

This means that we are seeing the development of the 5th wave which might have ended. With the price starting to move to the upside in an impulsive manner and the prior low showing signs of bullish action pushing the price as indicated from the wick on the buyer’s side. However, we haven’t seen interaction with the descending channel’s support level and the 0.618 Fibonacci one of the current correction hasn’t been respected.

We might see another decrease to for a retest of its significant levels and the point of interest would be the intersection of the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the descending channel’s resistance at $7377. If the price, on the other hand, starts further increasing from here and breaks out to the upside above $8506 significant level it could indicate that the ABC move to the downside ended.


The price of Ripple came down to $0.2 at its lowest point yesterday decreasing by 18.3% from it’s prior high at $0.2458. From there we have seen an increase in around 6% but the price is still in an upward trajectory which is why the price is likely to continue increasing further during the day.

On the hourly chart, we can see that the price came down to my projected target for the main scenario in which the price of Ripple was to end it’s 5th wave out of the five-wave impulse to the downside of a lower degree which is the C wave of the Minute count. An interaction has been made with the 0.2 horizontal level and even a quick dip below it was made but only served to activate the buying as it entered the buyer’s territory.

If the ABC correction ended we are seeing the development of the next move to the upside which could be a five-wave impulse but it is still unclear weather or not it would be the uptrend continuation as the correction ended or would it be a corrective increase.

Nikola Lazić

Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliot waves, Fibonacci
Nikola has a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him the edge in the financial market, knowing a lot about herd mentality. That is why he uses Elliot wave principles mostly, in combination with Fibonacci levels. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader.
As an anarcho-capitalist, he fully supports the vision of decentralized future offered by cryptocurrencies, that’s why his attention and interest are mostly focused on them. His analysis has been praised by some of the most influential people from the cryptocurrency scene, like Jeff Berwick, the founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter, Vit Jedlicka, the president of Liberland, and other trader colleagues.

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