7 Upcoming Dividend Increases | Seeking Alpha

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Companies that grow dividends over time have been shown to beat the broader market. Management’s dividend increases are an important signal that the business is performing well and the company can and wants to reward shareholders. I track upcoming dividend increases from companies with a history of increasing them. The lists below contain different data points for the stocks increasing their dividends next week. This is especially important during these inflationary times.

This list is a trimmed-down version, only covering dividend increases. A full upcoming dividend calendar is always available here.

How I Created The Lists

I created the information below by combining the “U.S. Dividend Champions” spreadsheet hosted here with upcoming dividend information from NASDAQ. This meshes metrics about companies with dividend growth history with upcoming dividend payments. These companies all have a minimum five-year dividend growth history.

Companies are required to have higher total dividends paid out each year. Therefore, a company may not raise its dividend each calendar year, but the total annual dividend can still increase.

What Is The Ex-Dividend Date?

The “ex-dividend” date is when you are no longer entitled to the dividend or distribution. You need to have made your purchase by the preceding business day. For example, if the date is a Tuesday, you need to have purchased (or already owned) shares by the market close on Monday. Be aware that for any stock going ex-dividend on a Monday (or Tuesday if Monday is a holiday), you must own it by the prior Friday.

Dividend Streak Categories

Here are the definitions of the streak categories, as I’ll use them throughout the piece.

  • King: 50+ years
  • Champion/Aristocrat: 25+ years
  • Contender: 10-24 years
  • Challenger: 5+ years

Category Count
King 0
Champion 1
Contender 4
Challenger 2

The Dividend Increasers List

Data has been sorted by the ex-dividend day (ascending) and then by the streak (descending):

Name Ticker Streak Forward Yield Ex-Div Date Increase Percent Streak Category
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) 29 1.41 19-Dec-22 3.92% Champion
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) 12 3.2 19-Dec-22 12.20% Contender
Amphenol Corporation (APH) 10 1.03 19-Dec-22 5.00% Contender
Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) 9 5.02 21-Dec-22 4.88% Challenger
Balchem Corporation (BCPC) 11 0.55 23-Dec-22 10.94% Contender
Independent Bank Corp. (INDB) 11 2.63 23-Dec-22 7.84% Contender
ConocoPhillips (COP) 5 1.81 23-Dec-22 10.87% Challenger

Field Definitions

Streak: Years of dividend growth history are sourced from the U.S. Dividend Champions spreadsheet.

Forward Yield: The new payout rate is divided by the current share price.

Ex-Dividend Date: This is the date you need to own the stock.

Increase Percent: The percent increase.

Streak Category: This is the overall dividend history classification of the company.

Show Me The Money

Here’s a table mapping the new rates versus the old rates. It also reiterates the percentage increase. This table is sorted the same way as the first table (ex-dividend day ascending, dividend streak descending).

Ticker Old Rate New Rate Increase Percent
ECL 0.51 0.53 3.92%
AVGO 4.1 4.6 12.20%
APH 0.2 0.21 5.00%
GTY 0.41 0.43 4.88%
INDB 0.51 0.55 7.84%
BCPC 0.64 0.71 10.94%
COP 0.46 0.51 10.87%

Additional Metrics

Some different metrics related to these companies include yearly pricing action and the P/E ratio. The table is sorted the same way as the table above. A value investor may find stock ideas with those companies near their 52-week lows, as they could provide more margin of safety and inflated yield.

Ticker Current Price 52 Week Low 52 Week High PE Ratio % Off Low % Off High
ECL 150.44 131.04 235.03 33.7 15% Off Low 36% Off High
AVGO 574.41 415.07 667.61 78.94 38% Off Low 14% Off High
APH 81.76 61.5 87.7 34.88 33% Off Low 7% Off High
GTY 34.25 23.93 34.41 25.04 43% Off Low 0% Off High
INDB 83.76 73.65 91.65 17.82 14% Off Low 9% Off High
BCPC 129.41 110.15 173.8 41.24 17% Off Low 26% Off High
COP 112.88 63.16 137.96 8 79% Off Low 18% Off High

Tickers By Yield And Growth Rates

Some investors are more interested in the current yield, so I sorted this table descending by yield. The table also includes some historical dividend growth rates as a bonus. Additionally, the “Chowder Rule” has been included, the current yield + five-year dividend growth rate.

Ticker Yield 1 Yr DG 3 Yr DG 5 Yr DG 10 Yr DG Chowder Rule
GTY 5.02 5.5 7.5 8.5 -2.2 13.6
AVGO 3.2 13.3 30.9 50 50.2 53.2
INDB 2.63 4.5 10.3 11.3 9.8 13.9
COP 1.81 9.3 15.9 -2.9 -3.4 -1.1
ECL 1.41 2.2 6.1 6.7 10.9 8.1
APH 1.03 12 11.9 14.9 43.6 15.9
BCPC 0.55 11.5 11.4 11.3 14.5 11.8

Historical Returns

I’m always searching for dividend-growth stocks with a history of beating a market benchmark. I use the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) as my benchmark. The short version is that the ETF has a long history of outstanding performance, higher yield than the S&P, and growing dividends.

Here’s the 10-year total return chart for SCHD versus the companies on the list. I am especially interested in the companies that have handily beaten SCHD as a starting point for more research.

The 10-year chart looks out of whack with how stellar Broadcom’s performance has been over the past decade, with a total return of over 2200%. Amphenol also was a very strong performer, with a 475% total return versus 268% for SCHD. I’ll also give a tip of the hat to both Balchem and Independent Bank for beating SCHD, although by not much over a decade.

Chart
Data by YCharts

Please do your due diligence before investing, and thanks for reading.

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