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At the beginning of the first quarter of 2023, the Energy, Basic Materials, and Healthcare sectors each earn an Attractive-or-better rating. Our sector ratings are based on the normalized aggregation of our stock ratings for each stock in a given sector. Our stock ratings are based on five criteria that assess a company’s business fundamentals and valuation.
Investors looking for sector funds that hold quality stocks should focus on the Energy, Basic Materials, and Healthcare sectors. Figures 4 through 7 provide more details on the ratings of overall sectors, underlying assets, and individual funds. The primary drivers behind an Attractive fund rating is good portfolio management, or good stock picking, with low total annual costs.
Attractive-or-better ratings do not always correlate with Attractive-or-better total annual costs. This fact underscores that (1) cheap funds can dupe investors and (2) investors should invest only in funds with good stocks and low fees.
See Figures 4 through 13 for a detailed breakdown of ratings distributions by sector.
Figure 1: Ratings for All Sectors
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To earn an Attractive-or-better Predictive Rating, an ETF or mutual fund must have high-quality holdings and low costs. Only the top 30% of all ETFs and mutual funds earn our Attractive-or-better ratings.
Invesco DWA Energy Momentum ETF (PXI) is the top-rated Energy fund. It gets our Very Attractive rating by allocating over 46% of its value to Attractive-or-better-rated stocks.
Fidelity Advisor Utilities Fund (FUGAX) is the worst rated Utilities fund. It gets our Very Unattractive rating by allocating over 96% of its value to Unattractive-or-worse-rated stocks. Making matters worse, it charges investors annual costs of 3.43%.
Figure 2 shows the distribution of our Predictive Ratings for all sector ETFs and mutual funds.
Figure 2: Distribution of ETFs & Mutual Funds (Assets and Count) by Predictive Rating
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Figure 3 offers additional details on the quality of the sector funds. Note that the average total annual cost of Very Unattractive funds is almost three times that of Very Attractive funds.
Figure 3: Predictive Rating Distribution Stats
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* Avg TAC = Weighted Average Total Annual Costs
This table shows that only the best of the best funds get our Very Attractive Rating: they must hold good stocks AND have low costs. Investors deserve to have the best of both and we are here to give it to them.
Ratings by Sector
Figure 4 presents a mapping of Very Attractive funds by sector. The chart shows the number of Very Attractive funds in each sector and the percentage of assets in each sector allocated Very Attractive-rated funds.
Figure 4: Very Attractive ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
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Figure 5 presents the data charted in Figure 4.
Figure 5: Very Attractive ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
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Figure 6 presents a mapping of Attractive funds by sector. The chart shows the number of Attractive funds in each sector and the percentage of assets in each sector allocated to Attractive-rated funds.
Figure 6: Attractive ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
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Figure 7 presents the data charted in Figure 6.
Figure 7: Attractive ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
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Figure 8 presents a mapping of Neutral funds by sector. The chart shows the number of Neutral funds in each sector and the percentage of assets in each sector allocated to Neutral-rated funds.
Figure 8: Neutral ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
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Figure 9 presents the data charted in Figure 8.
Figure 9: Neutral ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
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Figure 10 presents a mapping of Unattractive funds by sector. The chart shows the number of Unattractive funds in each sector and the percentage of assets in each sector allocated to Unattractive-rated funds.
The landscape of sector ETFs and mutual funds is littered with Unattractive funds. Investors in Technology have put over 16% of their assets in Unattractive-rated funds.
Figure 10: Unattractive ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
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Figure 11 presents the data charted in Figure 10.
Figure 11: Unattractive ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
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Figure 12 presents a mapping of Very Unattractive funds by sector. The chart shows the number of Very Unattractive funds in each sector and the percentage of assets in each sector allocated to Very Unattractive-rated funds.
Figure 12: Very Unattractive ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
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Figure 13 presents the data charted in Figure 12.
Figure 13: Very Unattractive ETFs & Mutual Funds by Sector
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This article originally published on January 13, 2023.
Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, Matt Shuler, and Italo Mendonça receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector or theme.
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