BTC and XRP – Ascending Channel Near A Breakout

BTC/USD

From last Tuesday when the price of Bitcoin was sitting at $6768 on it’s lowest point we have seen an impulsive increase leading the price for a 14.95% increase measured to it’s highest point today which was at $7780 so far.

On the hourly chart, you can see that the price increased in a parabolic manner last week spiking above the $7400 area which was considered a significant horizontal resistance which was the highest point the price has been since the 7th of April. This spike was stooped out at the next minor horizontal range around $7600 but the price managed to go above this area as well.

We have seen the formation of the ascending channel from the spike’s ending point but was also the continuation of the previous ascending range made until the 19th of April when the price broke to the downside. The same can be expected now especially considering the amount of increase we have seen in this short period.

Another increase from here to the ascending channels resistance level could occur but as the wave structure implies this is the ending wave out of the five-wave impulse wave and especially as we have seen this ascending range it could mark the completion of the 5th wave in an ending diagonal.

If we see a breakout to the downside which I believe is more likely the mentioned horizontal levels are to be retested for support, but if the price continues increasing from here I would be expecting it to continue for much longer approximately to around $7880 level.

XRP/USD

The price of Ripple has increased by 10.94% from last Tuesday when it was sitting on it’s lowest at $0.17908 measured to the highest point the price has been yesterday at $0.1986.

Looking at the hourly chart, we can see that the price came up above the $0.18939 which served as a significant horizontal resistance but the increase was stopped out the vicinity of the prior high. As we have seen the formation of the ascending channel like in the case of Bitcoin it could also indicate that this is the ending wave out of the five-wave impulse. If that is true then the price could increase for another retest of its resistance level which would bring the price to $0.2 at its highest point, but after that, I would be expecting a breakout to the downside.

Another possibility could be that the seen ascending channel is the first sub-wave out of the next impulsive move to the upside in which case we are to see a breakout from the upside but that’s now as likely at this point.

Nikola Lazić

Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliot waves, Fibonacci
Nikola has a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him the edge in the financial market, knowing a lot about herd mentality. That is why he uses Elliot wave principles mostly, in combination with Fibonacci levels. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader.
As an anarcho-capitalist, he fully supports the vision of decentralized future offered by cryptocurrencies, that’s why his attention and interest are mostly focused on them. His analysis has been praised by some of the most influential people from the cryptocurrency scene, like Jeff Berwick, the founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter, Vit Jedlicka, the president of Liberland, and other trader colleagues.

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