8 Upcoming Dividend Increases | Seeking Alpha

Business And Finance Concept Of A Bull Market Trend High Quality

Darren415

Companies that grow dividends over time have been shown to beat the broader market. Management’s dividend increases are an important signal that the business is performing well and the company can and wants to reward shareholders. I track upcoming dividend increases from companies with a history of increasing them. The lists below contain different data points for the stocks increasing their dividends next week. This is especially important during these inflationary times.

This list is a trimmed-down version, only covering dividend increases. A full upcoming dividend calendar is always available here.

How I Created The Lists

I created the information below by combining the “U.S. Dividend Champions” spreadsheet hosted here with upcoming dividend information from NASDAQ. This meshes metrics about companies with dividend growth history with upcoming dividend payments. These companies all have a minimum five-year dividend growth history.

Companies are required to have higher total dividends paid out each year. Therefore, a company may not raise its dividend each calendar year, but the total annual dividend can still increase.

What Is The Ex-Dividend Date?

The “ex-dividend” date is when you are no longer entitled to the dividend or distribution. You need to have made your purchase by the preceding business day. For example, if the date is a Tuesday, you need to have purchased (or already owned) shares by the market close on Monday. Be aware that for any stock going ex-dividend on a Monday (or Tuesday if Monday is a holiday), you must own it by the prior Friday.

Dividend Streak Categories

Here are the definitions of the streak categories, as I’ll use them throughout the piece.

  • King: 50+ years
  • Champion/Aristocrat: 25+ years
  • Contender: 10-24 years
  • Challenger: 5+ years

Category Count
King 0
Champion 4
Contender 1
Challenger 3

The Dividend Increasers List

Data has been sorted by the ex-dividend day (ascending) and then by the streak (descending):

Name Ticker Streak Forward Yield Ex-Div Date Increase Percent Streak Category
MDU Resources Group, Inc. Common Stock (Holding Com… (MDU) 30 2.83 7-Dec-22 2.29% Champion
Triton International Limited Common Shares (TRTN) 5 4.15 7-Dec-22 7.69% Challenger
Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) 49 1.46 8-Dec-22 4.60% Champion
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) 46 1.89 8-Dec-22 20.19% Champion
WesBanco, Inc. (WSBC) 11 3.46 8-Dec-22 2.94% Contender
United Bancorp, Inc. (UBCP) 8 4.45 8-Dec-22 1.27% Challenger
Farmers National Banc Corp. (FMNB) 5 4.47 8-Dec-22 6.25% Challenger
UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) 29 1.78 9-Dec-22 2.70% Champion

Field Definitions

Streak: Years of dividend growth history are sourced from the U.S. Dividend Champions spreadsheet.

Forward Yield: The new payout rate is divided by the current share price.

Ex-Dividend Date: This is the date you need to own the stock.

Increase Percent: The percent increase.

Streak Category: This is the overall dividend history classification of the company.

Show Me The Money

Here’s a table mapping the new rates versus the old rates. It also reiterates the percentage increase. This table is sorted the same way as the first table (ex-dividend day ascending, dividend streak descending).

Ticker Old Rate New Rate Increase Percent
MDU 0.218 0.223 2.29%
TRTN 0.65 0.7 7.69%
BDX 0.87 0.91 4.60%
ADP 1.04 1.25 20.19%
WSBC 0.34 0.35 2.94%
UBCP 0.158 0.16 1.27%
FMNB 0.16 0.17 6.25%
UMBF 0.37 0.38 2.70%

Additional Metrics

Some different metrics related to these companies include yearly pricing action and the P/E ratio. The table is sorted the same way as the table above. A value investor may find stock ideas with those companies near their 52-week lows, as they could provide more margin of safety and inflated yield.

Ticker Current Price 52 Week Low 52 Week High PE Ratio % Off Low % Off High
MDU 31.5 24.54 31.95 13.39 28% Off Low 1% Off High
TRTN 67.51 48.11 70.84 13.28 40% Off Low 5% Off High
BDX 249.38 215.9 275.43 87.06 16% Off Low 9% Off High
ADP 264.22 189.58 264.94 30.3 39% Off Low 0% Off High
WSBC 40.46 29.21 41.37 18.57 39% Off Low 2% Off High
UBCP 14.38 14.35 20.33 9.96 0% Off Low 29% Off High
FMNB 15.22 12.41 19.39 9.52 23% Off Low 22% Off High
UMBF 85.52 77.48 110.9 17.04 10% Off Low 23% Off High

Tickers By Yield And Growth Rates

Some investors are more interested in the current yield, so I sorted this table descending by yield. The table also includes some historical dividend growth rates as a bonus. Additionally, the “Chowder Rule” has been included, the current yield + five-year dividend growth rate.

Ticker Yield 1 Yr DG 3 Yr DG 5 Yr DG 10 Yr DG Chowder Rule
FMNB 4.47 4.8 19.2 25.7 13.9 30.2
UBCP 4.45 1.8 4.6 8 0.2 12.5
TRTN 4.15 7.2 6.1
WSBC 3.46 3.2 5.7 6.7 8.4 10.2
MDU 2.83 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 5.4
ADP 1.89 5.1 13.7 12.2 10.1 14.1
UMBF 1.78 3.3 4.6 5.5 5.1 7.3
BDX 1.46 4.5 3.3 4.9 7.5 6.4

Historical Returns

I’m always searching for dividend-growth stocks with a history of beating a market benchmark. I use the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) as my benchmark. The short version is that the ETF has a long history of outstanding performance, higher yield than the S&P, and growing dividends.

Here’s the 10-year total return chart for SCHD versus the listed companies. I am especially interested in the companies that have handily beaten SCHD as a starting point for more research. While BDX has very slightly beaten SCHD, I am more interested in ADP’s growth.

Chart
Data by YCharts

I have to include a second variation of the chart as well. Triton International only has five years of stock history, so the results are skewed, but they also tell an exciting story. The intermodal container leasing company has excellent 5-year returns, but again, use this as just a starting point.

Chart
Data by YCharts

Please do your due diligence before investing, and thanks for reading.

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